EUR/USD bias held neutral on August 30, 2026
EUR/USD is being driven by shifting Fed rate expectations, as one report shows 57% odds of a September hike while another suggests a rate cut is more likely after a Fed chairman's comments. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields have risen sharply after a large government debt sale, and France's inflation rate climbed to 2.7% in August on energy costs, both of which are relevant for the euro-dollar exchange rate.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (24)
First seen on August 30
- US Government Sold $797 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.73%, 30-Year Yield 5.22%wolfstreet.com
- France inflation climbs to 2.7% in August on energy costscontent-media.investing.com
- Fedwatch Turns Hawkish With 57% Odds of September Rate IncreaseBitcoin.com News
Carried over from earlier days
- What are the main events for today?InvestingLive
- FX Daily: Keeping an eye on the long endING Think
- How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?InvestingLive
- Fed's Hammack: It's time to act with rate hikes, waiting will create painInvestingLive
- How will Warsh influence the technicals for USD vs some of the major currenciesInvestingLive
- Univ of Michigan final sentiment index for August 51.7 vs 51.0 estimateInvestingLive
- The USD has moved higher on more hawkish Fed Chair WarshInvestingLive
- US dollar climbs as the market sees a rising chance of a Fed hikeInvestingLive
- Fed chair says delivering ‘stable prices’ is central bank’s job as inflation persistsThe Guardian
- Warsh guides forward without forward guidanceING Think
- European indices close the day with gains.InvestingLive
- Investors Expect Higher Rates After Fed Chairman’s Inflation PledgeThe New York Times
- US Fed chair warns inflation progress insufficient, hints at rate hikesAl Jazeera
- Non-farm payrolls benchmark revisions trimmed employment by 79K jobsInvestingLive
- Fed Chair Kevin Warsh triggers a $488 million crypto liquidation cascade as rate-hike expectations riseCryptoSlate
- U.S. Stocks Fall After Warsh Speech Boosts Bond YieldsThe Wall Street Journal
- Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spoke today and the odds of an interest-rate cut rose double digits. Plus, Hegseth summoned the military’s top brass for a meeting and Russians got a little taste of direct democracy. Read more in today’s What’s News newsletter.The Wall Street Journal
- Economics Week AheadActionForex
- Introductory remarksbis.org
- September 2026 Monthlymarctomarket.com
- Warsh charts a forward-looking path for the Fed at Jackson HoleFinancial Times
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 31 | ||
| German Prelim CPI m/m | 0.3% | EUR |
| German Retail Sales m/m | EUR | |
| Tuesday, September 1 | ||
| German Retail Sales m/m | 0.4% | EUR |
| Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 50.4 | EUR |
| Italian Manufacturing PMI | 51.6 | EUR |
| French Final Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | EUR |
| German Final Manufacturing PMI | 54.1 | EUR |
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 52.8 | EUR |