EUR/USD bias flipped 15 times to weak bearish on August 31, 2026
EURUSD is being driven by shifting Fed policy expectations, as hawkish signals from officials like Warsh revive rate hike bets and bolster the US dollar, pressuring the pair near 1.1600. Meanwhile, accelerated German CPI data offers some euro support, though geopolitical tensions and a lack of dollar momentum keep the pair rangebound, with the 200-day moving average as a key technical reference.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 15 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 05:04Weak bearish
- 05:58Neutral
- 06:14Weak bearish
- 07:29Weak bullish
- 07:45Neutral
- 08:54Weak bearish
- 09:11Weak bullish
- 10:21Neutral
- 11:51Bearish
- 12:24Neutral
- 13:13Bullish
- 13:57Neutral
- 16:35Weak bullish
- 17:52Neutral
- 20:53Weak bearish
Headlines (23)
First seen on August 31
- Euro edges higher to near 1.1600 ahead of German CPI inflation releaseFXStreet
- EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: US rate hike back on the table, US Dollar upFXStreet
- CFTC Report: CAD short covering leads; Gold buying surgesFXStreet
- US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Focus is back on 100.00 as Fed hawks take centre stageFXStreet
- EUR/USD Price Forecast: Gains ground to near 1.1600, bullish vibe prevails above 100-day SMAFXStreet
- Euro: Warsh speech weighs on EUR against US Dollar – Danske BankFXStreet
- Warsh's Hawkish Turn Puts US Dollar Back in Focus. Forecast as of 31.08.2026LiteFinance
- The Fed Just Changed Everything: What It Means for Your Forex TradesInvesting.com
- Euro recovers against US Dollar, German CPI acceleratesFXStreet
- ECB is gradually shifting towards a September rate hikeHellenic Shipping News
- Euro languages around 1.1600 amid Fed hiking hopes, fresh tensions in IranFXStreet
- Sunrise Market CommentaryActionForex
- US Dollar Gains Put Euro, Yen and Aussie Under Renewed PressureInvesting.com
- Euro holds modest gains as US Dollar lacks momentum, Eurozone inflation in focusFXStreet
- EURUSD trades to new session highs and moves lower to 200 day MAInvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- Economics Week AheadActionForex
- Introductory remarksbis.org
- September 2026 Monthlymarctomarket.com
- Warsh charts a forward-looking path for the Fed at Jackson HoleFinancial Times
- US Government Sold $797 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.73%, 30-Year Yield 5.22%wolfstreet.com
- France inflation climbs to 2.7% in August on energy costscontent-media.investing.com
- Fedwatch Turns Hawkish With 57% Odds of September Rate IncreaseBitcoin.com News
- Warsh at Jackson Hole: 8 key takeawaysHellenic Shipping News
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 31 | ||
| German Prelim CPI m/m | 0.3% | EUR |
| German Retail Sales m/m | EUR | |
| Tuesday, September 1 | ||
| German Retail Sales m/m | 0.4% | EUR |
| Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | EUR |
| Italian Manufacturing PMI | 51.4 | EUR |
| French Final Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | EUR |
| German Final Manufacturing PMI | 54.1 | EUR |
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 52.8 | EUR |