EUR/USD bias flipped 22 times to weak bearish on August 27, 2026
The euro is hovering around 1.1650 as stronger US inflation data, which lifted the dollar, offsets support from a hawkish European Central Bank stance that has raised expectations for a September rate hike. Investors are weighing the Fed-ECB policy outlook, with the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium adding to the focus on the pair.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 22 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Weak bullish
- 04:07Weak bearish
- 05:18Neutral
- 05:34Weak bullish
- 06:00Weak bearish
- 06:16Neutral
- 07:56Weak bullish
- 08:12Weak bearish
- 08:41Weak bullish
- 08:57Neutral
- 09:50Weak bullish
- 10:06Neutral
- 10:22Weak bearish
- 11:34Neutral
- 12:06Weak bullish
- 12:22Neutral
- 13:14Weak bullish
- 13:40Neutral
- 14:44Bearish
- 15:12Neutral
- 17:22Weak bearish
- 18:50Weak bullish
- 23:31Weak bearish
Headlines (19)
First seen on August 27
- Euro holds gains above 1.1650 on hawkish ECB biasFXStreet
- Sticky Core PCE and Steady GDP Keep Fed Tightening Hopes Alivebabypips.com
- Euro: Lower against US Dollar after PCE surprise – Danske BankFXStreet
- British Pound finds support near weekly low as fiscal woes and rate gap weigh on YenFXStreet
- Euro retreats below 1.1650 as inflation data buoys US Dollar ahead of Jackson HoleFXStreet
- US Dollar Edges HigherInvesting.com
- Policymakers concluded that risks to the inflation outlook are tilted to the upside - ECB accountsInvestingLive
- Kickstart the NA session with a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD: Key levels in playInvestingLive
- ECB Minutes: Hawks Push for More Tightening as July Pause Leaves Door OpenActionForex
- ECB is gradually shifting towards a September rate hikeING Think
- Euro trims intraday losses as traders weigh Fed-ECB interest rate outlooksFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- Event Guide: U.S. Core PCE Price Index (July 2026)babypips.com
- Market Quick Take - Wider tariffs and another chip selloff as gold extends its run - 25 August 2026home.saxo
- Preview, today: Fed's favoured inflation gauge lands two days before Warsh's Jackson Hole speechInvestingLive
- ECB’s Schnabel Sees Inflation Above 2% for Extended Period, Backs More TighteningActionForex
- Schnabel’s Hawkish Signal Reshapes the ECB Rate Outlook and Supports EUR/USDInvesting.com
- EUR/USD Rally Tests the Limits of Fed-ECB Policy ConvergenceInvesting.com
- Forex Today: US Dollar firms ahead of Jackson HoleFXStreet
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 26 Aug The USD is mostly higher with higher yields the catalystInvestingLive
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Thursday, August 27 | ||
| German GfK Consumer Climate | -29.5 | EUR |
| M3 Money Supply y/y | 3.5% | EUR |
| Private Loans y/y | 2.9% | EUR |
| ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts | EUR | |
| Unemployment Claims | 208K | USD |
| Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m | 0.2% | USD |
| Goods Trade Balance | -100.8B | USD |
| Natural Gas Storage | 19B | USD |