EUR/USD bias held neutral on August 16, 2026
Recent commentary highlights contrasting views on US inflation: while Morgan Stanley sees disinflation underway, another report suggests AI-related price pressures could push the Fed toward higher rates. These narratives on the US rate outlook are relevant for EURUSD as they influence dollar sentiment relative to the euro.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (16)
First seen on August 16
- Morgan Stanley says disinflation is here, but risks to 2027 rate outlook remainHellenic Shipping News
Carried over from earlier days
- My Thoughts about those Retail Saleswolfstreet.com
- EUR/USD Eyes 1.1560 BreakoutInvesting.com
- Dollar nudges lower on the day amid mixed market moodInvestingLive
- US stocks hit records (again...), but oil and earnings risks are growing. What can you trade?InvestingLive
- US July retail sales -0.6% vs +0.1% expectedInvestingLive
- Retail sales slump in July. Cheaper gas and Amazon-Prime hangover are the chief culprits.MarketWatch
- European shares close mostly lower as yields jump; DAX bucks the trendInvestingLive
- Euro climbs as fading Fed hike expectations pressure US DollarFXStreet
- Euro: Spreads support upside bias against US Dollar – ScotiabankFXStreet
- US Dollar: Medium-term depreciation risks build – NordeaFXStreet
- Federal Reserve: Labour strength supports further hikes – NordeaFXStreet
- EURUSD backs off from the 50% midpoint target at 1.1585. What next?InvestingLive
- U.S. Stocks Down After Retail Sales DataThe Wall Street Journal
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 14 Aug: Stocks finish mixed as yields rise and the dollar fallsInvestingLive
- AI inflation is putting even more pressure on the Fed. Could higher interest rates be next?MarketWatch
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 17 | ||
| Empire State Manufacturing Index | 10.6 | USD |
| NAHB Housing Market Index | 33 | USD |
| TIC Long-Term Purchases | 151.4B | USD |
| German Buba Monthly Report | EUR | |
| Tuesday, August 18 | ||
| ZEW Economic Sentiment | 25.4 | EUR |
| German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 30.0 | EUR |
| ADP Weekly Employment Change | USD | |
| Housing Starts | 1.35M | USD |