EUR/USD bias turned bullish on August 19, 2026
EURUSD is being driven by shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy, with fading rate-hike bets lending support to the euro, and by geopolitical tensions, particularly US-Iran concerns, which have occasionally boosted the US dollar as a safe haven. The pair has struggled near 1.1600 and recently dipped below its 100-day SMA, consolidating below a two-month high as traders weigh these opposing forces. The market remains sensitive to headlines on both monetary policy and geopolitical developments.
Updated
The reading that day
BullishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed once during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 00:50Bullish
Headlines (9)
First seen on August 19
Carried over from earlier days
- EUR/USD at Eight-Week High: What Happens NextInvesting.com
- EUR/USD Gains as Fed Hike Odds Fall and ECB Tightening Bets HoldInvesting.com
- EUR/USD Price Forecast: Struggles at 1.1600, dives below 100-day SMAFXStreet
- Forex Today: US Dollar sags to two-month lows as Middle East risk lifts Oil and GoldFXStreet
- EUR/USD upside break may have to waitInvestingLive
- Euro declines below 1.1600 on US-Iran war worriesFXStreet
- US Dollar Gains Ground Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty. Forecast as of 18.08.2026LiteFinance
- Euro consolidates below two-month high as US Dollar steadiesFXStreet
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, August 19 | ||
| Current Account | 26.8B | EUR |
| Final Core CPI y/y | 2.5% | EUR |
| Final CPI y/y | 2.9% | EUR |
| German 10-y Bond Auction | EUR | |
| ECB President Lagarde Speaks | EUR | |
| Crude Oil Inventories | 0.2M | USD |
| FOMC Meeting Minutes | USD | |
| President Trump Speaks | USD | |