EUR/USD bias flipped 2 times to neutral on August 18, 2026
EUR/USD has been supported by fading expectations of a Fed rate hike and firm ECB tightening bets, which helped the pair reach an eight-week high. However, it struggles to sustain gains above 1.1600, with occasional dips below that level triggered by US-Iran war worries and a steadier dollar. The pair now consolidates below a two-month high as markets weigh Middle East risk and the outlook for monetary policy divergence.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 2 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 19:57Bearish
- 20:28Neutral
Headlines (14)
First seen on August 18
- EUR/USD Price Forecast: Struggles at 1.1600, dives below 100-day SMAFXStreet
- Forex Today: US Dollar sags to two-month lows as Middle East risk lifts Oil and GoldFXStreet
- EUR/USD upside break may have to waitInvestingLive
- Euro declines below 1.1600 on US-Iran war worriesFXStreet
- Euro consolidates below two-month high as US Dollar steadiesFXStreet
Carried over from earlier days
- Euro strengthens above 1.1550 as Fed rate hike bets fadeFXStreet
- Dollar comes under pressure to start the new weekInvestingLive
- US Dollar Exceptionalism Fades as EUR/USD Eyes BreakoutInvesting.com
- Cooling US Economy and High Oil Prices Weigh on Dollar. Forecast as of 17.08.2026LiteFinance
- Dollar Falls Sharply on Fading Prospect of Federal Reserve Raising RatesThe Wall Street Journal
- EUR/USD at Eight-Week High: What Happens NextInvesting.com
- Dollar's Losses Extended, but Stabilizing Ahead of the North American Sessionmarctomarket.com
- Kickstart the NA session for August 17: USD starts the week on the defensive.InvestingLive
- EUR/USD Gains as Fed Hike Odds Fall and ECB Tightening Bets HoldInvesting.com
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, August 18 | ||
| ZEW Economic Sentiment | 25.9 | EUR |
| German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 30.1 | EUR |
| ADP Weekly Employment Change | USD | |
| Building Permits | 1.37M | USD |
| Housing Starts | 1.34M | USD |
| Import Prices m/m | 0.1% | USD |
| Capacity Utilization Rate | 76.3% | USD |
| Industrial Production m/m | 0.3% | USD |