US Dollar Index bias held neutral on August 16, 2026
Headlines show the dollar index facing downside pressure as Fed rate hike expectations shrink, with inflation dominating the Fed's policy debate. Meanwhile, Treasury yields have hit multi-year highs after heavy government debt issuance, which could support the dollar. Morgan Stanley sees disinflation but warns of rate risks, adding to the uncertain outlook for the greenback.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (19)
First seen on August 16
- Troops from North Korea to boost Russia's Ukraine forcesdw.com
- NATO fighter jet shoots down drone over Romaniapolitico.eu
- Morgan Stanley says disinflation is here, but risks to 2027 rate outlook remainHellenic Shipping News
- Goldman Sachs: labour market "not that interesting" as inflation dominates Fed debateInvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- My Thoughts about those Retail Saleswolfstreet.com
- Why PPI Hit the U.S. Dollar Harder Than CPI This Weekbabypips.com
- Asia FX ticks up, dollar dips after soft U.S. PPI curbs Fed hike betsInvesting.com
- Euro climbs as fading Fed hike expectations pressure US DollarFXStreet
- British Pound hits three-month high as weak US sales deepen USD slideFXStreet
- Canadian Dollar surges as sharp US Retail Sales miss hits the DollarFXStreet
- US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Fed hawks circle, but weak data clips the Dollar’s wingsFXStreet
- The Dollar Index breaks on the fourth consecutive soft printFXStreet
- U.S. Stocks Down After Retail Sales DataThe Wall Street Journal
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 14 Aug: Stocks finish mixed as yields rise and the dollar fallsInvestingLive
- Financial & Forex Weekly Recap: August 10-14, 2026babypips.com
- Dollar Index Faces Imminent Breakdown Risk as Fed Hike Path ShrinksActionForex
- AI inflation is putting even more pressure on the Fed. Could higher interest rates be next?MarketWatch
- Three IDF soldiers seriously wounded by Hezbollah attack in Lebanon, Netanyahu's office sayshaaretz.com
- US Government Sold $742 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 30-Year Treasury Auction Yield Highest since 2001, 10-Year Auction Yield Highest since 2007wolfstreet.com
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday, August 16 | ||
| BusinessNZ Services Index | NZD | |
| FPI m/m | NZD | |
| Rightmove HPI m/m | GBP | |
| Prelim GDP q/q | 0.5% | JPY |
| Prelim GDP Price Index y/y | 2.3% | JPY |
| Monday, August 17 | ||
| New Home Prices m/m | CNY | |
| Tertiary Industry Activity m/m | -0.9% | JPY |
| Revised Industrial Production m/m | 1.3% | JPY |