US Dollar Index bias flipped 3 times to weak bullish on August 17, 2026
The US Dollar Index weakened to near 99.50, a three-month low, as traders pushed back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this year. Falling odds of a rate increase, with Goldman Sachs cautioning against hawkish positions, have pressured the dollar and supported the euro above 1.1550. The move reflects shifting monetary policy expectations, with gold also benefiting from the softer dollar.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bullishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 3 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 02:23Bearish
- 07:46Neutral
- 18:22Weak bullish
Headlines (22)
First seen on August 17
- Euro strengthens above 1.1550 as Fed rate hike bets fadeFXStreet
- Asian Currencies Strengthen Amid Reduced Fed Rate-Hike ExpectationsThe Wall Street Journal
- British Pound trades near three-month top as fading Fed hike bets undermine USDFXStreet
- New Zealand Dollar advances beyond 0.5900, highest since June 3 as USD stays weakFXStreet
- United States Dollar Index weakens to near 99.50 as traders push back Fed rate hike betsFXStreet
- investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil steady, yen firmsInvestingLive
- Gold remains close to June 5 high as receding Fed hike bets undermine USDFXStreet
- Dollar comes under pressure to start the new weekInvestingLive
- Indonesian Rupiah strengthens amid Prabowo's growth target, weaker US DollarFXStreet
- Cooling US Economy and High Oil Prices Weigh on Dollar. Forecast as of 17.08.2026LiteFinance
- Week Ahead: Downward Data Surprise Stretch the US Dollar’s Momentum IndicatorsInvesting.com
- Odds of Fed Rate Hike This Year Fall as Goldman Sachs Warns Against Hawkish BetsCoinGape
- Dollar Falls Sharply on Fading Prospect of Federal Reserve Raising RatesThe Wall Street Journal
- The Yen: Has the Trend Finally Been Broken?ActionForex
- Why the Dollar Hit a 3-Month Low and Bitcoin Only Moved 0.7%BeInCrypto
Carried over from earlier days
- Dollar Index Faces Imminent Breakdown Risk as Fed Hike Path ShrinksActionForex
- AI inflation is putting even more pressure on the Fed. Could higher interest rates be next?MarketWatch
- US Government Sold $742 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 30-Year Treasury Auction Yield Highest since 2001, 10-Year Auction Yield Highest since 2007wolfstreet.com
- Troops from North Korea to boost Russia's Ukraine forcesdw.com
- NATO fighter jet shoots down drone over Romaniapolitico.eu
- Morgan Stanley says disinflation is here, but risks to 2027 rate outlook remainHellenic Shipping News
- Goldman Sachs: labour market "not that interesting" as inflation dominates Fed debateInvestingLive
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 17 | ||
| Tertiary Industry Activity m/m | -0.9% | JPY |
| Revised Industrial Production m/m | 1.3% | JPY |
| Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y | CNY | |
| Industrial Production y/y | 5.0% | CNY |
| NBS Press Conference | CNY | |
| Retail Sales y/y | 1.5% | CNY |
| New Home Prices m/m | CNY | |
| Unemployment Rate | 5.1% | CNY |