USD/JPY bias flipped 29 times to neutral on August 31, 2026
USDJPY has breached the 160 level as hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve official Warsh raise expectations of US rate hikes, widening the rate differential with Japan and boosting the dollar. The yen remains pressured near one-month lows amid the US-Japan rate gap and geopolitical risks from Iran, while conflicting comments from top US officials add uncertainty. These dynamics are keeping the pair elevated, with market attention on central bank signals and safe-haven flows.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 29 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Weak bullish
- 00:08Bearish
- 00:24Bullish
- 02:12Weak bullish
- 02:45Neutral
- 03:41Bullish
- 04:00Neutral
- 05:04Bullish
- 05:41Weak bearish
- 06:18Neutral
- 06:34Weak bullish
- 07:21Weak bearish
- 07:37Neutral
- 08:22Weak bullish
- 08:38Neutral
- 08:54Bullish
- 09:11Neutral
- 10:05Weak bullish
- 10:21Neutral
- 10:38Weak bullish
- 11:18Neutral
- 11:43Weak bearish
- 11:59Weak bullish
- 12:16Neutral
- 14:47Bearish
- 15:43Weak bullish
- 17:52Weak bearish
- 21:53Neutral
- 23:09Bullish
- 23:34Neutral
Headlines (19)
First seen on August 31
- Japan factory output tops forecasts as retail sales rebound sharplyInvestingLive
- Yen Caught Between Top U.S. Officials’ RemarksThe Wall Street Journal
- Jackson Hole Comments Raise U.s. Rate Hike ExpectationsActionForex
- Japan Industrial Production Beats Forecast as Retail Sales ReboundActionForex
- A pop for yen despite USD/JPY weakening earlier past 160 as Warsh's hawkish tone clashes with BessentInvestingLive
- Japanese Yen seems vulnerable near one-month low vs USD amid US-Japan rate gap, Iran risksFXStreet
- CFTC Report: CAD short covering leads; Gold buying surgesFXStreet
- Live updates: Bitcoin holds $78,000 as yen breaks 160 and rate-hike bets lift the dollarCoinDesk
- Japan’s bonds and yen under pressure after Warsh’s Jackson Hole speechFinancial Times
- USDJPY Breaks 160 as Warsh Turns Up HeatActionForex
- US Dollar Gains Put Euro, Yen and Aussie Under Renewed PressureInvesting.com
- Monday catch up in preparation for Asia open: Oil surges on Iran strikes, hawkish Warsh lifts dollar, yields, hike oddsInvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- September 2026 Monthlymarctomarket.com
- Russian strike on a munitions depot triggers deadly blasts near KyivAl Jazeera
- Warsh charts a forward-looking path for the Fed at Jackson HoleFinancial Times
- Fedwatch Turns Hawkish With 57% Odds of September Rate IncreaseBitcoin.com News
- Warsh at Jackson Hole: 8 key takeawaysHellenic Shipping News
- Japan’s Yen Falls Again Despite $97 Billion Aid. Risk For Bitcoin?BeInCrypto
- Bessent says yen slide is contained, backs Ueda ahead of G20 talksInvestingLive
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 31 | ||
| Housing Starts y/y | 7.5% | JPY |
| Capital Spending q/y | -0.2% | JPY |
| Tuesday, September 1 | ||
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 55.1 | JPY |
| 10-y Bond Auction | JPY | |
| Consumer Confidence | 35.3 | JPY |
| FOMC Member Barr Speaks | USD | |
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 53.3 | USD |
| ISM Manufacturing Prices | 70.5 | USD |