EUR/USD bias flipped 18 times to weak bearish on September 4, 2026
EURUSD is trading with a downward bias after a stronger-than-expected US August jobs report boosted expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, while the ECB is widely expected to raise rates on September 10. Hawkish Fed rhetoric and a solid dollar have kept the pair below 1.1600, despite the euro finding some support from the anticipated European Central Bank move. Market focus remains on central bank policy divergence and upcoming US data.
Updated
The reading that day
Weak bearishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 18 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 07:38Weak bullish
- 07:53Weak bearish
- 08:23Bullish
- 08:38Neutral
- 08:53Bullish
- 09:08Weak bearish
- 09:23Neutral
- 09:38Bearish
- 12:18Neutral
- 12:33Bearish
- 13:03Bullish
- 13:38Neutral
- 15:59Weak bearish
- 16:19Neutral
- 18:49Weak bearish
- 19:04Weak bullish
- 19:24Bullish
- 21:04Weak bearish
Headlines (15)
First seen on September 4
- Forex Today: US Dollar retreats on easing Fed rate hike bets, focus shifts to NFPFXStreet
- U.S. payrolls rose 162,000 in August, much more than expected; unemployment rate at 4.1%CNBC
- U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Surge Past Expectations, Indicating Economic StrengthInvesting.com
- Hospitality and education boosts US job creation in Augustbbc.co.uk
- Euro slips against US Dollar as Nonfarm Payrolls crush expectationsFXStreet
- U.S. economy added many more jobs than expected in August. What Wall Street is sayingCNBC
- Strong August US payrolls report bolsters odds of September rate riseFinancial Times
Carried over from earlier days
- Euro tests two-week lows as risk aversion, Fed tightening bets buoy the US DollarFXStreet
- Euro stays under pressure against US Dollar despite softer ADP dataFXStreet
- Euro: Headwinds from Fed and energy – INGFXStreet
- EURUSD Technicals: Traders have done their ABCs in trading the EURUSD today. What do I mean?InvestingLive
- Euro steadies below 1.1600 as hawkish Fed rhetoric limits gainsFXStreet
- Economists agree: ECB to hike rates on September 10 – Reuters pollFXStreet
- Euro gains against US Dollar as Waller tempers Fed rate-hike betsFXStreet
- Catch-up: Waller sent stocks rocketing higher in the USInvestingLive
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Friday, September 4 | ||
| German Factory Orders m/m | 0.3% | EUR |
| Italian Retail Sales m/m | 0.2% | EUR |
| Retail Sales m/m | 0.3% | EUR |
| Non-Farm Employment Change | 55K | USD |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | USD |
| Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | USD |
| FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | USD | |
| Monday, September 7 | ||
| German Industrial Production m/m | 0.1% | EUR |