US Dollar Index bias flipped 21 times to neutral on September 4, 2026
The US Dollar Index is being influenced by contrasting signals: a stronger-than-expected August jobs report has increased expectations for a September rate hike, yet dovish comments from Fed's Waller and a rally in stocks and bonds suggest a possible policy hold. Additionally, the dollar is facing downward pressure from suspected yen intervention, as noted in crypto market reports.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 21 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 00:50Bearish
- 01:25Neutral
- 02:30Bearish
- 02:45Neutral
- 06:38Bearish
- 06:53Neutral
- 08:23Bearish
- 08:38Neutral
- 08:53Weak bearish
- 09:48Neutral
- 12:43Bullish
- 12:58Neutral
- 14:54Bullish
- 15:44Bearish
- 15:59Weak bullish
- 16:14Weak bearish
- 16:29Neutral
- 17:02Bullish
- 17:22Neutral
- 19:54Bullish
- 20:24Neutral
Headlines (16)
First seen on September 4
- Dollar Squeezed on Two Fronts, Gold Rebounds Sharply From Critical Support Ahead of NFP CueActionForex
- Forex Today: US Dollar retreats on easing Fed rate hike bets, focus shifts to NFPFXStreet
- U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Surge Past Expectations, Indicating Economic StrengthInvesting.com
- U.S. job growth smashes expectations in August, unemployment rate remains flatInvesting.com
- Hospitality and education boosts US job creation in Augustbbc.co.uk
- U.S. economy added many more jobs than expected in August. What Wall Street is sayingCNBC
- Strong August US payrolls report bolsters odds of September rate riseFinancial Times
- US jobs report beats all expectations, boosts case for a September hikeING Think
Carried over from earlier days
- Brent Is Heading Towards $100 a BarrelActionForex
- Sterling today: Pound slips as hawkish Fed outlook lifts dollar broadlyInvesting.com
- Warsh shift points to an ‘insurance’ Fed hikeING Think
- Fed's Waller: Inclined to support policy hold if August inflation data shows progressFXStreet
- US Dollar extends decline as NFP takes centre stageFXStreet
- Bitcoin reclaims $80K as DXY falls amid continuing suspected yen interventionCointelegraph
- Stocks, Bonds Rally After Dovish Fed CommentsThe Wall Street Journal
- Catch-up: Waller sent stocks rocketing higher in the USInvestingLive
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Friday, September 4 | ||
| German Factory Orders m/m | 0.3% | EUR |
| Italian Retail Sales m/m | 0.2% | EUR |
| Construction PMI | 45.8 | GBP |
| BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | |
| Retail Sales m/m | 0.3% | EUR |
| Non-Farm Employment Change | 55K | USD |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | USD |
| Employment Change | 15.1K | CAD |