US Dollar Index bias turned bullish on September 27, 2026
The U.S. dollar is in focus amid hawkish Federal Reserve signals, with Polymarket odds cited at a 64% chance of an October rate hike and the 10-year Treasury yield near its highest in almost two decades. Resilient growth in a hot, inflation-prone economy is keeping the Fed on edge, with the upcoming jobs report viewed as a catalyst for longer-term yields. Those rate and yield expectations are showing up across currencies, with headlines noting the Australian dollar softening toward 0.7000.
Updated
The reading that day
BullishAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed once during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 23:28Bullish
Headlines (30)
First seen on September 27
- Why the upcoming jobs report could send 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields surgingMarketWatch
- Will US jobs data add to pressure on Fed policymakers?Financial Times
- Fed October Decision Polymarket Odds: October Rate Hike Sits at 64%cryptonews.com
- Iran holds line on diplomacy as Hormuz missile strike raises risk before openInvestingLive
- Is Fed tightening a game changer for EM assets? UBS weighs inHellenic Shipping News
- Higher Treasury yields deliver a reality check on a hot, inflation-prone economyHellenic Shipping News
- Bessent urges Fed to keep an open mind on rates, citing AI productivityInvestingLive
- Australian Dollar softens to near 0.7000 on hawkish Fed signals, RBA rate decision loomsFXStreet
- Top 5 Market Catalysts That Could Move Stocks and Crypto This WeekBeInCrypto
Carried over from earlier days
- Asian currencies weaken as dollar hits two-month high, yen nears 160Investing.com
- United States Dollar Index approaches 101.80 as bond yields keep rallyingFXStreet
- US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Heads for second week of gain above 101.00, upside bias intactFXStreet
- Euro consolidates near three-month lows amid high Oil prices, Fed hiking betsFXStreet
- Warsh's regime change at the Fed pushes ahead – and meets resistanceCNBC
- US Dollar Steadies on Softer US Rates as US-Japan Coordination Snaps Yen SlideInvesting.com
- Dollar Pares Weekly Gains as Yen Rebounds on Intervention SignalsActionForex
- Week Ahead – Rate Hike Bets Face a Crucial Data WeekActionForex
- Euro: Credibility restored supports Dollar – CommerzbankFXStreet
- Fed Faces Prospect of Another Interest Rate Increase Just Before Midterm ElectionsThe New York Times
- Australian Dollar rebounds from 0.7000 as US Dollar eases after strong weekFXStreet
- Euro set for third weekly decline as hawkish Federal Reserve outlook weighsFXStreet
- 10-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high—and some investors see opportunity to buy bondsCNBC
- New Zealand Dollar holds steady as US Dollar retreatsFXStreet
- Gold finds a pulse as WTI slump takes the edge off US DollarFXStreet
- Fed’s Hammack warns inflation mindset is the biggest riskFXStreet
- Fed’s Hammack says policy still isn’t restrictive despite high inflationFXStreet
- US Treasury yields rise as 30-Year yield hits 22-year highFXStreet
- The Weekly Bottom Line: Resilient Growth Keeps the Fed on EdgeActionForex
- How Much Further Can the Dollar Run After Last Week’s Broad Rally?ActionForex
- The 10-year Treasury yield is at its highest in nearly two decades. How we got hereCNBC
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday, September 27 | ||
| SPPI y/y | 3.6% | JPY |
| Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | JPY | |
| Monday, September 28 | ||
| French Consumer Spending m/m | EUR | |
| MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | GBP | |
| FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | USD | |
| ECB President Lagarde Speaks | EUR | |
| FOMC Member Cook Speaks | USD | |
| FOMC Member Barkin Speaks | USD | |