USD/JPY bias flipped 6 times to neutral on August 25, 2026
The yen remains under pressure, with USD/JPY hovering near 159 despite intervention concerns, as expectations grow for the Bank of Japan to hike rates in September and again in early 2026. Meanwhile, a resurgent dollar narrative and broader market shifts toward a 'debasement trade' are adding to the pair's dynamics, while upcoming U.S. core PCE data could influence near-term direction.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 6 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Bullish
- 01:32Neutral
- 09:45Bullish
- 13:00Neutral
- 22:13Bullish
- 22:29Weak bearish
- 23:53Neutral
Headlines (10)
First seen on August 25
- Event Guide: U.S. Core PCE Price Index (July 2026)babypips.com
- Is Confidence Returning to the Dollar?ActionForex
- BOJ seen hiking to 1.25pct in September as yen weakness accelerates timelineInvestingLive
Carried over from earlier days
- Jumpy bond markets make it clear: Trump risks driving US into debt crisis | Heather StewartThe Guardian
- Gold and Bitcoin Surge as U.S. Bond Buybacks Surprise MarketsActionForex
- Analysts’ views: forecasters continue to see Fed and Bank of England on hold this yearFinancial Times
- The Forex Market Is Switching to a ‘Debasement Trade’ActionForex
- USDJPY tests the 200-hour MA as buyers probe higherInvestingLive
- USD/JPY Near 159 Shows Intervention Has Failed to Reverse Yen WeaknessInvesting.com
- BOJ likely to hike next month and again in January, says ex-board memberInvestingLive
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, August 25 | ||
| BOJ Core CPI y/y | 1.4% | JPY |
| ADP Weekly Employment Change | USD | |
| HPI m/m | 0.2% | USD |
| S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y | 1.8% | USD |
| CB Consumer Confidence | 90.3 | USD |
| Richmond Manufacturing Index | 6 | USD |
| New Home Sales | 620K | USD |
| FOMC Member Barkin Speaks | USD | |