EUR/USD bias held neutral on August 2, 2026
Market focus remains on recalibrating central bank rate assumptions, with the latest CFTC positioning data indicating that bearish FX extremes have deepened. This shift in rate expectations and positioning is contributing to ongoing volatility in euro-dollar trading, as investors adjust to diverging signals across asset classes.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (26)
First seen on August 2
- Why Andy Burnham’s devolution pledge will be tricky to deliverThe Guardian
- Monday open indicative forex prices, 03 August 2026InvestingLive
- Container Report – Week 31Hellenic Shipping News
Carried over from earlier days
- EUR/JPY rallies further above 185.00 against Japanese Yen after BoJ’s policy decisionFXStreet
- Euro area bank interest rate statistics: June 2026European Central Bank
- European Central Bank: September hike path shaped by Iran war – NomuraFXStreet
- ECB publishes results of 2026 geopolitical risk reverse stress testbankingsupervision.europa.eu
- Eurozone inflation rises to 2.9% in JulyFinancial Times
- ECB’s Kocher: Central bank policies will remain data-dependentFXStreet
- How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?InvestingLive
- BIS Project Agorá settles $1 million in tokenized cross-border payment trialsCointelegraph
- The USD is higher to start the NA session. How are the charts impacting trader bias?InvestingLive
- Pan Gongsheng: Speech - Hong Kong FIC and Bond Connect Summitbis.org
- Euro slips back below 1.1500 as US Dollar recoversFXStreet
- European indices close the day and the week mostly higher.InvestingLive
- European wheat futures drop as traders take profitsInvesting.com
- Russian stocks close in the green on FridayTASS
- Euro recovers as Eurozone inflation stays firmFXStreet
- EUR/USD Breaks Its Downtrend as ECB Rate Bets StrengthenInvesting.com
- Xeneta Weekly Ocean Container Shipping Market Update: Ocean Container Rates SteadyHellenic Shipping News
- Brokers and Exchanges Chase New Clients. Each Company Is Betting on a Different Product to Get Themfinancemagnates.com
- Rates Spark: Recalibrating rate assumptionsING Think
- America Broke a 28-Year Rule to Save the Yen and Bitcoin Felt It FirstBeInCrypto
- CFTC Report: Bearish FX extremes deepen as cross-asset signals divergeFXStreet
- The Bank of England Is Moving Away From CoalOilPrice.com
- Japan, US Plot Yen Rescue as Speculators Face ReckoningBitcoin.com News
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 3 | ||
| German Retail Sales m/m | -0.4% | EUR |
| Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 50.5 | EUR |
| Italian Manufacturing PMI | 52.5 | EUR |
| French Final Manufacturing PMI | 50.0 | EUR |
| German Final Manufacturing PMI | 52.2 | EUR |
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 52.0 | EUR |
| Final Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | USD |
| ISM Manufacturing Prices | 70.0 | USD |