EUR/USD bias flipped 2 times to neutral on July 22, 2026
The ECB is widely expected to hold its key rate at 2.25% at its upcoming July meeting, with the Middle East conflict clouding the outlook, though a September rate hike remains under consideration. This policy uncertainty, along with broader geopolitical risks, is a key factor influencing the euro's relative strength against the dollar.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It changed 2 times during the day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
- 14:41Weak bullish
- 15:49Neutral
Headlines (14)
First seen on July 22
- Payments statistics: second half of 2025European Central Bank
- Treasury yields flat as traders reassess Fed rate hike betsCNBC
- A dense week ahead: Fed decision, Big Tech earnings, and month-end crypto expiryblog.kraken.com
- Will surge in German business bankruptcies hit growth?dw.com
- What's happening to UK interest rates and what does it mean for mortgages?bbc.co.uk
- The digital euro: Surveillance money, or a better alternative to cash?Cointelegraph
- Fed’s favorite inflation tracker is getting an overhaul — just as the central bank weighs interest-rate hikes. What’s going on?MarketWatch
Carried over from earlier days
- Preview - ECB seen holding at 2.25% as Middle East conflict clouds outlook, September hike still in playInvestingLive
- Czech central bank chief warns against joining Eurozone too earlyFinancial Times
- Strengthening public finances as a pillar of prosperity in the Slovak Republicoecdecoscope.blog
- July ECB Cheat Sheet: No lull in sightING Think
- ECB appoints Boris Kisselevsky as Director General SecretariatEuropean Central Bank
- Monetary Policy Radar preview: ECB’s July meetingFinancial Times
- GOV_EU_DEBT - "Dataset: updated structure and data"ec.europa.eu
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, July 22 | ||
| Crude Oil Inventories | -2.0M | USD |
| President Trump Speaks | USD | |
| Thursday, July 23 | ||
| Main Refinancing Rate | 2.40% | EUR |
| Monetary Policy Statement | EUR | |
| Unemployment Claims | 211K | USD |
| ECB Press Conference | EUR | |
| Consumer Confidence | -17 | EUR |
| Natural Gas Storage | 29B | USD |