US Dollar Index bias held neutral on July 26, 2026
The Treasury market is signaling a warning to Fed Chair Warsh that interest rates need to stay higher, which typically supports the US dollar. Additionally, rising oil prices are prompting expectations of higher UK interest rates, which could increase global rate pressures and further underpin the dollar.
Updated
The reading that day
NeutralAt the close of the UTC day.
BearishNeutralBullish
It held all day.
The day on the wire
00:0006:0012:0018:0024:00
The band shows the reading through the day; a mark shows where it changed. Each tick is a headline first seen that day.
The reading through the day
- 00:00Neutral
Headlines (22)
First seen on July 26
- ‘Burnham bounce’ risks deflating unless focus remains on struggling households | Richard PartingtonThe Guardian
- The Treasury market is sending Fed Chair Kevin Warsh a clear warning about ratesMarketWatch
- Ed Miliband indicates development and climate will be at heart of UK foreign policyThe Guardian
- Here are the 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadCNBC
- Nasdaq futures rally ahead of big week of earnings, Fed meeting: Live updatesCNBC
- Rising oil prices could force up UK interest rates, say economistsThe Guardian
Carried over from earlier days
- United States Dollar Index holds gains near 101.50 on revival of hawkish Fed betsFXStreet
- US Dollar Index: Higher yields and FOMC focus lift DXY – MUFGFXStreet
- United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Pullbacks could be bought into near 101.00FXStreet
- ECB to start implementing enhanced repo facility for central banksEuropean Central Bank
- Results of the June 2026 survey on credit terms and conditions in euro-denominated securities financing and OTC derivatives markets (SESFOD)European Central Bank
- Macroprudential policy and productivity: friends not foesEuropean Central Bank
- Decisions taken by the Governing Council of the ECB (in addition to decisions setting interest rates)European Central Bank
- Swiss Franc gains slightly against US Dollar as Oil prices easeFXStreet
- Euro falls even amid strong Eurozone PMIsFXStreet
- Why bond investors are pushing up some of your interest ratesCNBC
- CFTC Staff Issues No-Action Position on Designated Contract Market Procedurescftc.gov
- F.D.A. Panel’s Vote on Peptides Raises Concerns About a Prescribing BoomThe New York Times
- Can Japan avoid a Liz Truss-style shock as its PM embarks on a giant spending spree?The Guardian
- FOMC preview: Fed to stay on hold after June’s hawkish shiftING Think
- Kazakhstan’s central bank keeps surprising as fiscal clarity trumps inflation concernsING Think
- The Global South is being forced to choose creditors over childrenAl Jazeera
Scheduled events
As of
| Event | Forecast | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday, July 26 | ||
| SPPI y/y | 3.4% | JPY |
| Monday, July 27 | ||
| German ifo Business Climate | 86.1 | EUR |
| Private Loans y/y | 3.1% | EUR |
| M3 Money Supply y/y | 3.2% | EUR |
| ECOFIN Meetings | EUR | |
| CBI Realized Sales | -45 | GBP |
| Durable Goods Orders m/m | 1.6% | USD |
| Core Durable Goods Orders m/m | 0.9% | USD |